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Hazardous Weather Outlook


Hazardous Weather Outlook
National Weather Service Paducah KY
245 PM CDT Wed May 15 2024

ILZ075>078-080>094-INZ081-082-085>088-KYZ001>022-MOZ076-086-087-
100-107>112-114-161200-
Jefferson-Wayne IL-Edwards-Wabash-Perry IL-Franklin-Hamilton-
White-Jackson-Williamson-Saline-Gallatin-Union-Johnson-Pope-
Hardin-Alexander-Pulaski-Massac-Gibson-Pike-Posey-Vanderburgh-
Warrick-Spencer-Fulton-Hickman-Carlisle-Ballard-McCracken-Graves-
Livingston-Marshall-Calloway-Crittenden-Lyon-Trigg-Caldwell-
Union KY-Webster-Hopkins-Christian-Henderson-Daviess-McLean-
Muhlenberg-Todd-Perry MO-Bollinger-Cape Girardeau-Wayne MO-Carter-
Ripley-Butler-Stoddard-Scott-Mississippi-New Madrid-
245 PM CDT Wed May 15 2024 /345 PM EDT Wed May 15 2024/

This Hazardous Weather Outlook is for portions of southern
Illinois, southwest Indiana, western Kentucky, and southeast
Missouri.

.DAY ONE...This Afternoon and Tonight

Patchy dense fog may develop tonight. Visibilities could be
reduced to as low as a quarter of a mile at times.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...Thursday through Tuesday

Patchy dense fog may develop Thursday morning. Visibilities could be
reduced to as low as a quarter of a mile at times.

Scattered to numerous thunderstorms are forecast Thursday afternoon
and evening. Some of the thunderstorms could be severe. Additionally,
locally heavy rain could lead to flash flooding.

More widespread showers and thunderstorms are forecast Friday into
Saturday. Additional rounds of locally heavy rain could lead to flash
flood development. Some storms may be strong to severe.

Showers and thunderstorms return to the forecast Monday, Tuesday,
and Wednesday.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

Spotter activation may be needed Thursday and Friday.

$$

Hazardous Weather Outlook
National Weather Service Springfield MO
813 PM CDT Wed May 15 2024

KSZ073-097-101-MOZ055>058-066>071-077>083-088>098-101>106-170115-
Bourbon-Crawford-Cherokee-Benton-Morgan-Miller-Maries-Vernon-
St. Clair-Hickory-Camden-Pulaski-Phelps-Barton-Cedar-Polk-Dallas-
Laclede-Texas-Dent-Jasper-Dade-Greene-Webster-Wright-Newton-
Lawrence-Christian-Douglas-Howell-Shannon-McDonald-Barry-Stone-
Taney-Ozark-Oregon-
813 PM CDT Wed May 15 2024

This Hazardous Weather Outlook is for portions of the Missouri
Ozarks and extreme southeast Kansas.

.DAY ONE...Tonight.

Weather hazards expected...

  Limited hail risk.
  Limited thunderstorm wind damage risk.
  Elevated lightning risk.
  Limited excessive rainfall risk

DISCUSSION...

Thunderstorms have begun to develop across southern Kansas and
northern Oklahoma this evening, and are expected to push east
into the area after 10pm. There will be the potential for damaging
straight line winds and hail up to the size of quarters for
locations along and west of Interstate 49 with a few of the
storms. Cloud to ground lightning and locally heavy rain are the
expected risk east of Interstate 49 tonight.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...Friday through Wednesday.

Showers and thunderstorms will likely be moving east across the
area Thursday morning. Additional storms may develop Thursday
afternoon and evening, generally along and south of a Branson to
Rolla line. If enough instability can develop after the morning
convection a few strong storms with hail and gusty winds will be
possible. Locally heavy rainfall will also be possible and could
lead to a localized flooding risk on Thursday.

Additional showers and thunderstorms will move across the region
Thursday night through the day on Friday. Locally heavy rainfall
and a minor localized flooding risk will occur again on Friday.

Thunderstorm chances then return to the area next week.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

Spotter activation may be needed later today or tonight for
locations west of Interstate 49.

&&

More detailed information can be accessed at:
http://www.weather.gov/sgf/dsspacket

This product in graphical format...along with other weather...
hydrological and climate information...at
http://www.weather.gov/sgf

$$

Melto

Hazardous Weather Outlook
National Weather Service St Louis MO
252 PM CDT Wed May 15 2024

ILZ058>060-064-065-069-070-074-079-095>102-MOZ018-019-026-027-
034>036-041-042-047>052-059>065-072>075-084-085-099-162000-
Greene IL-Macoupin IL-Montgomery IL-Bond IL-Fayette IL-Clinton IL-
Marion IL-Washington IL-Randolph IL-Adams IL-Brown IL-Pike IL-
Calhoun IL-Jersey IL-Madison IL-Saint Clair IL-Monroe IL-Knox MO-
Lewis MO-Shelby MO-Marion MO-Monroe MO-Ralls MO-Pike MO-Boone MO-
Audrain MO-Moniteau MO-Cole MO-Osage MO-Callaway MO-Montgomery MO-
Lincoln MO-Gasconade MO-Warren MO-Saint Charles MO-Franklin MO-
Saint Louis MO-Saint Louis City MO-Jefferson MO-Crawford MO-
Washington MO-Saint Francois MO-Sainte Genevieve MO-Iron MO-
Madison MO-Reynolds MO-
252 PM CDT Wed May 15 2024

This Hazardous Weather Outlook is for portions of eastern and
central Missouri as well as west central and southwest Illinois.

.DAY ONE...Tonight.

There is a chance of thunderstorms late tonight mainly in Missouri.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...Thursday through Tuesday.

There is a chance of thunderstorms Thursday through Saturday. There
is another chance of thunderstorms Monday and Tuesday.

Isolated strong to severe thunderstorms are possible Thursday
afternoon and evening, especially over portions of east central/
Southeast Missouri and southwest Illinois. Locally heavy rain could
result in minor flooding Friday over southeast Missouri and
southwest Illinois.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

Spotter activation is not expected at this time.

$$

Byrd

Hazardous Weather Outlook
National Weather Service Louisville KY
335 PM EDT Wed May 15 2024

INZ076>079-083-084-089>092-KYZ023>043-045>049-053>057-061>067-
070>078-081-082-161945-
Orange-Washington IN-Scott IN-Jefferson IN-Dubois-Crawford-Perry-
Harrison IN-Floyd-Clark IN-Hancock-Breckinridge-Meade-Ohio-Grayson-
Hardin-Bullitt-Jefferson-Oldham-Trimble-Henry-Shelby-Franklin-
Scott KY-Harrison KY-Spencer-Anderson-Woodford-Fayette-Bourbon-
Nicholas-Nelson-Washington KY-Mercer-Jessamine-Clark KY-Larue-Marion-
Boyle-Garrard-Madison-Butler-Edmonson-Hart-Green-Taylor-Casey-
Lincoln-Logan-Warren-Simpson-Allen-Barren-Monroe-Metcalfe-Adair-
Russell-Cumberland-Clinton-
335 PM EDT Wed May 15 2024 /235 PM CDT Wed May 15 2024/

This Hazardous Weather Outlook is for Indiana, south central
Indiana, east central Kentucky, north central Kentucky, northwest
Kentucky and south central Kentucky.

.DAY ONE...Tonight.

Scattered showers and thunderstorms are expected today. Severe
weather isn`t expected, but slow moving heavy rain and training of
storms could lead to localized areas of minor flooding.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...Thursday through Tuesday.

Widespread showers and thunderstorms are expected Friday and
Saturday. The main threat from this activity will be locally heavy
downpours and possible minor local flooding.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

Spotter activation is not expected at this time.

GENERAL STORM MOTION OF THE DAY:

Storms will move from the north to the south between 10-20 mph near
the Ohio River. Storms will move from the NW to the SE close to the
KY/TN border.

Any users of this storm motion must be aware that thunderstorm activity
can be erratic and constantly evolving.  Please use this with caution
and be prepared for changing conditions.

&&

More information, along with other weather, hydrological and
climate information can be found, at weather.gov/louisville.

$$
BTN/RAS

Hazardous Weather Outlook
National Weather Service Lincoln IL
201 PM CDT Wed May 15 2024

ILZ061>063-066>068-071>073-161915-
Shelby-Cumberland-Clark-Effingham-Jasper-Crawford-Clay-Richland-
Lawrence-
201 PM CDT Wed May 15 2024

This Hazardous Weather Outlook is for central Illinois, east
central Illinois and southeast Illinois.

.DAY ONE...This afternoon and tonight.

No hazardous weather is expected.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...Thursday through Tuesday.

There will be periodic chances for thunderstorms Thursday through
Saturday, and again early next week. Locally heavy rain is a
concern, especially Thursday and Friday.

There is a marginal risk for severe weather Thursday.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

Spotter activation is not anticipated through tonight.

$$

Copple

U.S. Dept. of Commerce
NOAA National Weather Service
1325 East West Highway
Silver Spring, MD 20910
E-mail: w-nws.webmaster@noaa.gov
Page last modified: June 2, 2009
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